Rigorous · Transparent · Replayable
Indexing Methodology
A structured framework for quantifying geopolitical risk through continuous multi-source monitoring, analytical judgment, and transparent scoring.
Data Collection & Verification
The index draws from multiple independent source categories on a continuous collection cycle. Raw inputs pass through relevance filtering, cross-source verification, and trust scoring before entering the analytical pipeline.
News & Media
Global wire services, specialist publications, and regional outlets — monitored continuously for material developments.
Maritime & Incident
Shipping advisories, maritime authority bulletins, and incident databases tracking physical disruptions in real time.
Market & Economic
Daily energy pricing, freight rate movements, and volatility indicators reflecting market perception of supply risk.
Composite Scoring Model
Four analytical branches scored independently into a single 0–100 composite, each balancing two components.
Recent Component
Severity and recency of discrete events, weighted by publisher trust tier and subject to temporal decay.
Persistent Component
Broader operating environment assessment — baseline tension, structural risk factors, and prevailing conditions.
Pipeline Input
Global Event Ingestion Buffer
Maritime
Transit Security
Force
Posture & Escalation
Markets
Energy Stress
Geo-Pol
Diplomatic Signals
Composite Risk Score · 0–100
Replayability & Audit
Every score we publish has a clear provenance. The full chain — from source data to published index — is preserved and version-stamped, giving our clients confidence that the intelligence they act on is consistent, reproducible, and grounded in evidence.
Score Traceability
Every published score links directly to the source observations and analytical judgments that produced it.
Historical Integrity
Past index values are never revised retroactively. The record reflects what was known at the time.
Methodology Versioning
Scoring rules and parameters are version-stamped on every record, so changes are explicit and auditable.
Source Preservation
Raw inputs are stored before any analytical processing begins. Source data is never modified after collection.
Built for the decisions that matter.
We tailor each engagement to the requirements of the organization.