Hormuz Strait Index
Global Energy Corridor Monitoring
Extreme Crisis
Jun 2, 2026
Daily Intelligence Intercept
“The index edged up 0.36 points to 82.9 as oil markets actively unwound the Hormuz-specific seaborne premium, signaling growing doubts about Brent's physical deliverability advantage. This market repricing coincides with the structural degradation of US regional military infrastructure and the fracturing of allied maritime security frameworks. Without a localized defensive umbrella or unified naval support, commercial operators face prohibitive insurance costs, likely forcing a complete withdrawal of standard coverage for Gulf loadings within weeks.”
The index will likely breach 85 if the absence of a unified maritime security framework emboldens Iran to resume active commercial interdictions.
Risk Trajectory
Hormuz Strait Index · Daily Close
The Architecture of Risk
The index synthesizes hundreds of daily events from verified open sources into four weighted risk dimensions. Each event is classified, trust-scored against publisher credibility tiers, and aged with temporal decay to reflect how risk evolves over time.
Maritime Transit
Security of Shipping
Vessel seizures, coercive interdictions, transit restrictions, and attacks on commercial shipping through the Strait.
Force Posture
Military Escalation
Naval deployments, carrier strike group movements, military exercises, and kinetic operations across the Gulf region.
Market Stress
Energy Market Impact
Oil price volatility, Brent-WTI spread dynamics, and supply disruption risk premiums derived from daily market data.
Diplomatic
Political Signals
Government statements, sanctions, diplomatic breakdowns, and escalatory rhetoric between regional and global state actors.